Mentefactum poll of 2 November 2019 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Rheinische Post
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 21 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU31.0%+3.0
- Grüne21.0%+2.0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%-3.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Mentefactum poll of 25 Nov 2018.
In this poll Mentefactum has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Rheinische Post.
Compared with the previous Mentefactum poll of 25 Nov 2018, CDU gains 3.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Mentefactum has Grüne 3.0 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.0average 24.0
- AfD +3.0average 7.0
- CDU +2.0average 29.0
- SPD +2.0average 18.0
- FDP -1.0average 11.0
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU58
- Grüne39
- SPD37
- FDP19
- AfD19
- Linke9
- CDU + Grüne97 of 181
- CDU + SPD95 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD96 of 181
- Grüne + SPD + FDP95 of 181
- Grüne + SPD + AfD95 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.