Single poll
Mentefactum poll of 25 November 2018 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Rheinische Post / Bonner General-Anzeiger / Zeitungsverlag Aachen
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 21 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU28.0%
- SPD19.0%
- Grüne19.0%
- FDP11.0%
- AfD11.0%
- Linke8.0%
- Others4.0%
28.0%
CDU
19.0%
SPD
19.0%
Grüne
11.0%
FDP
11.0%
AfD
8.0%
Linke
4.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Mentefactum has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 19 to 21 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Rheinische Post / Bonner General-Anzeiger / Zeitungsverlag Aachen.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Mentefactum has Grüne 6.8 points higher and SPD 4.1 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +6.8average 12.2
- SPD -4.1average 23.1
- CDU -2.9average 30.9
- AfD -0.6average 11.6
- Linke +0.6average 7.4
- FDP +0.4average 10.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU52
- SPD36
- Grüne36
- FDP21
- AfD21
- Linke15
- CDU + SPD + Grüne124 of 181
- CDU + SPD + FDP109 of 181
- CDU + SPD + AfD109 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + FDP109 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + AfD109 of 181
- CDU + SPD + Linke103 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + Linke103 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD94 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP93 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD93 of 181
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.