Single poll
Allensbach poll of 5 December 2024 for the Lower Saxony state election
- State
- Lower Saxony
- Commissioned by
- Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 29 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,007
- Method
- Persönlich
In this poll Allensbach has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 11 to 29 Nov 2024, method Persönlich, commissioned by Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 5 Feb 2024, AfD loses 5.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU 1.5 points higher and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +1.5average 31.5
- SPD +1.5average 25.5
- Grüne -1.0average 11.0
- BSW -1.0average 5.0
- AfD +0.5average 15.5
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU52
- SPD42
- AfD25
- Grüne16
- CDU + SPD94 of 135
- CDU + AfD77 of 135
- CDU + Grüne68 of 135
- SPD + AfD + Grüne83 of 135
More
More polls
← Allensbach, 5 Feb 2024Allensbach, 25 Feb 2026 →Average of all pollsters: Lower SaxonySunday question Lower Saxony2025 federal election in Lower SaxonyChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.