Allensbach poll of 25 February 2026 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 29 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 1,064
- Method
- Persönlich & Online
- CDU27.0%-6.0
- SPD26.0%-1.0
- AfD21.0%+5.0
- Grüne10.0%±0
- Linke7.0%
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 5 Dec 2024.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,064 people were surveyed from 12 to 29 Jan 2026, method Persönlich & Online, commissioned by Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 5 Dec 2024, CDU loses 6.0 points, AfD gains 5.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 12.0
- CDU +1.0average 26.0
- AfD +1.0average 20.0
- Linke +1.0average 6.0
- SPD ±0average 26.0
- FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU40
- SPD39
- AfD31
- Grüne15
- Linke10
- CDU + SPD79 of 135
- CDU + AfD71 of 135
- SPD + AfD70 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.