Single poll
Allensbach poll of 5 February 2024 for the Lower Saxony state election
- State
- Lower Saxony
- Commissioned by
- Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe
- Fieldwork period
- 19 Dec 2023 to 12 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 1,070
- Method
- Persönlich
In this poll Allensbach has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,070 people were surveyed from 19 Dec 2023 to 12 Jan 2024, method Persönlich, commissioned by Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 12 Jul 2023, AfD gains 7.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has AfD 3.5 points higher and SPD 2.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.5average 17.5
- SPD +2.5average 26.5
- Grüne -2.0average 13.0
- CDU +1.5average 28.5
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU45
- SPD43
- AfD31
- Grüne16
- CDU + SPD88 of 135
- CDU + AfD76 of 135
- SPD + AfD74 of 135
More
More polls
← Allensbach, 12 Jul 2023Allensbach, 5 Dec 2024 →Average of all pollsters: Lower SaxonySunday question Lower Saxony2025 federal election in Lower SaxonyChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.