Single poll
Allensbach poll of 12 July 2023 for the Lower Saxony state election
- State
- Lower Saxony
- Commissioned by
- Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 30 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,101
- Method
- Persönlich
In this poll Allensbach has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,101 people were surveyed from 15 to 30 Jun 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Oct 2021, AfD gains 7.0 points, FDP loses 5.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has AfD 4.0 points higher and Grüne 4.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +4.0average 10.0
- Grüne -4.0average 17.0
- CDU +3.0average 26.0
- SPD -1.0average 33.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD47
- CDU42
- AfD20
- Grüne19
- FDP7
- SPD + CDU89 of 135
- SPD + AfD + Grüne86 of 135
- CDU + AfD + Grüne81 of 135
- SPD + AfD + FDP74 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + FDP73 of 135
- CDU + AfD + FDP69 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP68 of 135
More
More polls
← Allensbach, 20 Oct 2021Allensbach, 5 Feb 2024 →Average of all pollsters: Lower SaxonySunday question Lower Saxony2025 federal election in Lower SaxonyChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.