Single poll
Allensbach poll of 20 October 2021 for the Lower Saxony state election
- State
- Lower Saxony
- Commissioned by
- Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe
- Fieldwork period
- 6 Sep 2021 to 1 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Allensbach has SPD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 6 Sep 2021 to 1 Oct 2021, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 11 Mar 2021, SPD gains 7.0 points, CDU loses 7.0 points, Grüne loses 5.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has Grüne 3.5 points lower and CDU 3.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.5average 18.5
- CDU +3.0average 23.0
- AfD +1.0average 6.0
- Linke -0.5average 4.5
- SPD ±0average 34.0
- FDP ±0average 10.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD50
- CDU38
- Grüne22
- FDP15
- AfD10
- SPD + CDU88 of 135
- SPD + Grüne72 of 135
- SPD + FDP + AfD75 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP75 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD70 of 135
More
More polls
← Allensbach, 11 Mar 2021Allensbach, 12 Jul 2023 →Average of all pollsters: Lower SaxonySunday question Lower Saxony2025 federal election in Lower SaxonyChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.