Single poll
Allensbach poll of 11 March 2021 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe
- Fieldwork period
- 3 Feb 2021 to 3 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 950
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU33.0%
- SPD27.0%
- Grüne20.0%
- AfD6.0%
- FDP5.0%
- Linke5.0%
- Others4.0%
33.0%
CDU
27.0%
SPD
20.0%
Grüne
6.0%
AfD
5.0%
FDP
5.0%
Linke
4.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 950 people were surveyed from 3 Feb 2021 to 3 Mar 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -1.5average 34.5
- Grüne +1.0average 19.0
- SPD ±0average 27.0
- AfD ±0average 6.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU47
- SPD38
- Grüne28
- AfD8
- FDP7
- Linke7
- CDU + SPD85 of 135
- CDU + Grüne75 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + AfD74 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + FDP73 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + Linke73 of 135
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.