Single poll
Universität Hamburg poll of 20 March 2019 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Universität Hamburg
- Fieldwork period
- 6 Jan 2019 to 2 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 1,069
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD35.0%
- Grüne29.0%
- CDU15.0%
- Linke9.0%
- FDP6.0%
- AfD4.0%
- Others3.0%
35.0%
SPD
29.0%
Grüne
15.0%
CDU
9.0%
Linke
6.0%
FDP
4.0%
AfD
3.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Universität Hamburg has SPD ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 29.0%. 1,069 people were surveyed from 6 Jan 2019 to 2 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Universität Hamburg.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Universität Hamburg has Grüne 6.0 points higher and SPD 4.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +6.0average 23.0
- SPD +4.5average 30.5
- AfD -3.5average 7.5
- FDP -2.5average 8.5
- Linke -1.5average 10.5
- CDU -0.5average 15.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD45
- Grüne37
- CDU19
- Linke12
- FDP8
- SPD + Grüne82 of 121
- SPD + CDU64 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke68 of 121
- SPD + Linke + FDP65 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + FDP64 of 121
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.