Policy Matters poll of 25 June 2020 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Körber-Stiftung
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 11 Jun 2020
- Respondents
- 1,020
- Method
- Online
- SPD39.0%+9.0
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- CDU13.0%-3.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- AfD6.0%-4.0
- FDP5.0%-4.0
- Others4.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Policy Matters poll of 28 May 2019.
In this poll Policy Matters has SPD ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,020 people were surveyed from 2 to 11 Jun 2020, method Online, commissioned by Körber-Stiftung.
Compared with the previous Policy Matters poll of 28 May 2019, SPD gains 9.0 points, AfD loses 4.0 points, FDP loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Policy Matters has SPD 4.1 points higher and Grüne 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +4.1average 34.9
- Grüne -2.4average 25.4
- Linke +1.5average 8.5
- CDU -0.7average 13.7
- AfD -0.7average 6.7
- FDP -0.7average 5.7
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD49
- Grüne29
- CDU16
- Linke13
- AfD8
- FDP6
- SPD + Grüne78 of 121
- SPD + CDU65 of 121
- SPD + Linke62 of 121
- SPD + AfD + FDP63 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.