Policy Matters poll of 28 May 2019 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- DIE ZEIT / Körber-Stiftung
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 16 May 2019
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Online
- SPD30.0%+2.0
- Grüne22.0%+7.0
- CDU16.0%-6.0
- Linke11.0%-3.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Others2.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Policy Matters poll of 7 Mar 2018.
In this poll Policy Matters has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 6 to 16 May 2019, method Online, commissioned by DIE ZEIT / Körber-Stiftung.
Compared with the previous Policy Matters poll of 7 Mar 2018, Grüne gains 7.0 points, CDU loses 6.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Policy Matters has AfD 3.7 points higher and Grüne 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 28 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.7average 6.3
- Grüne -3.0average 25.0
- SPD -2.0average 32.0
- FDP +1.3average 7.7
- Linke +1.0average 10.0
- CDU +0.7average 15.3
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD37
- Grüne27
- CDU20
- Linke14
- AfD12
- FDP11
- SPD + Grüne64 of 121
- SPD + CDU + Linke71 of 121
- SPD + CDU + AfD69 of 121
- SPD + CDU + FDP68 of 121
- SPD + Linke + AfD63 of 121
- SPD + Linke + FDP62 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke61 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.