Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 February 2025 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 27 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,046
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD33.0%+1.0
- CDU18.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%-2.0
- Linke12.0%+3.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Volt3.0%±0
- Others8.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 Feb 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 18.0%. 1,046 people were surveyed from 26 to 27 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 Feb 2025, Linke gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Linke 3.5 points higher and Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +3.5average 8.5
- Grüne -1.8average 18.8
- SPD +1.0average 32.0
- AfD -1.0average 10.0
- CDU +0.2average 17.8
- Volt ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD45
- CDU25
- Grüne23
- Linke16
- AfD12
- SPD + CDU70 of 121
- SPD + Grüne68 of 121
- SPD + Linke61 of 121
- CDU + Grüne + Linke64 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.