Single poll
Forsa poll of 16 April 2018 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD / WELT
- Fieldwork period
- 19 Mar 2018 to 4 Apr 2018
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Unbekannt
- SPD36.0%
- Grüne18.0%
- CDU16.0%
- Linke12.0%
- FDP7.0%
- AfD7.0%
- Others4.0%
36.0%
SPD
18.0%
Grüne
16.0%
CDU
12.0%
Linke
7.0%
FDP
7.0%
AfD
4.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 19 Mar 2018 to 4 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD / WELT.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 8.0 points higher and CDU 6.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +8.0average 28.0
- CDU -6.0average 22.0
- Grüne +3.0average 15.0
- AfD -3.0average 10.0
- Linke -2.0average 14.0
- FDP -1.0average 8.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD45
- Grüne23
- CDU20
- Linke15
- FDP9
- AfD9
- SPD + Grüne68 of 121
- SPD + CDU65 of 121
- SPD + Linke + FDP69 of 121
- SPD + Linke + AfD69 of 121
- SPD + FDP + AfD63 of 121
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.