Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 May 2019 for the European election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
14 to 16 May 2019
Respondents
1,313
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU30.0%-2.0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • SPD17.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%+1.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others10.0%+1.0

Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 May 2019.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,313 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 May 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 2.2 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -2.2average 7.2
  • CDU/CSU +1.5average 28.5
  • Grüne +1.0average 18.0
  • SPD +0.6average 16.4
  • AfD +0.2average 11.8
  • Linke -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 32 seatsGrüne: 20 seatsSPD: 18 seatsAfD: 13 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU32
  • Grüne20
  • SPD18
  • AfD13
  • Linke8
  • FDP5
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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