Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 10 May 2019 for the European election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
7 to 9 May 2019
Respondents
1,357
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU32.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%-2.0
  • AfD12.0%+2.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others9.0%+1.0

Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Apr 2019.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,357 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 12 Apr 2019, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has FDP 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.6average 7.6
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 30.9
  • AfD +0.9average 11.1
  • Linke -0.9average 6.9
  • SPD -0.3average 16.3
  • Grüne +0.2average 18.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 34 seatsGrüne: 20 seatsSPD: 17 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 6 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU34
  • Grüne20
  • SPD17
  • AfD13
  • FDP6
  • Linke6
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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