Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 March 2019 for the European election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
25 to 27 Mar 2019
Respondents
1,325
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU33.0%-2.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 Mar 2019.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,325 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.3average 16.7
  • Linke -1.3average 7.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 32.0
  • AfD -1.0average 11.0
  • FDP -0.8average 7.8
  • Grüne +0.3average 17.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 35 seatsSPD: 19 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsAfD: 10 seatsFDP: 7 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU35
  • SPD19
  • Grüne19
  • AfD10
  • FDP7
  • Linke6
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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