Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 March 2019 for the European election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
12 to 14 Mar 2019
Respondents
1,290
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU35.0%+2.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Linke6.0%-2.0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 Feb 2019.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,290 people were surveyed from 12 to 14 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 Feb 2019, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 3.0 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +3.0average 32.0
  • AfD -2.0average 11.0
  • SPD +1.3average 16.7
  • Linke -1.3average 7.3
  • FDP -0.8average 7.8
  • Grüne +0.3average 17.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 36 seatsSPD: 19 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsAfD: 9 seatsFDP: 7 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU36
  • SPD19
  • Grüne19
  • AfD9
  • FDP7
  • Linke6
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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