Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 15 March 2019 for the European election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
12 to 14 Mar 2019
Respondents
1,290
Method
Telefonisch

Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 Feb 2019.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,290 people were surveyed from 12 to 14 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 Feb 2019, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 3.0 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +3.0average 32.0
  • AfD -2.0average 11.0
  • SPD +1.3average 16.7
  • Linke -1.3average 7.3
  • FDP -0.8average 7.8
  • Grüne +0.3average 17.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

CDU/CSU: 36 seatsSPD: 19 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsAfD: 9 seatsFDP: 7 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU36
  • SPD19
  • Grüne19
  • AfD9
  • FDP7
  • Linke6
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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