Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 May 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
26 Apr 2022 to 3 May 2022
Respondents
1,570
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+2.0
  • SPD23.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Apr 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,570 people were surveyed from 26 Apr 2022 to 3 May 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Apr 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.1average 24.9
  • SPD -1.4average 24.4
  • AfD -1.3average 10.3
  • FDP -0.5average 9.5
  • Linke +0.5average 4.5
  • Grüne +0.2average 18.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsSPD: 157 seatsGrüne: 130 seatsFDP: 62 seatsAfD: 62 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • SPD157
  • Grüne130
  • FDP62
  • AfD62
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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