Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
19 to 26 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,431
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • SPD23.0%-2.0
  • Grüne20.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Apr 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,431 people were surveyed from 19 to 26 Apr 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Apr 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.6average 24.6
  • AfD -1.4average 10.4
  • Grüne +1.3average 18.7
  • Linke +0.5average 4.5
  • FDP -0.4average 9.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 24.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 173 seatsSPD: 159 seatsGrüne: 139 seatsFDP: 62 seatsAfD: 62 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU173
  • SPD159
  • Grüne139
  • FDP62
  • AfD62
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD374 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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