Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 7 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,411
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU34.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%+2.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- AfD9.0%-2.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Oct 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,411 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Oct 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Oct 2020, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower and SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 36.0
- SPD +1.6average 15.4
- AfD -1.3average 10.3
- Grüne +0.5average 19.5
- FDP -0.5average 5.5
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- Grüne136
- SPD115
- AfD61
- Linke54
- FDP34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.