Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 30 Sep 2020
- Respondents
- 2,397
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU35.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Sep 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,397 people were surveyed from 22 to 30 Sep 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Sep 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Linke 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.6average 7.4
- Grüne -1.4average 19.4
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 35.8
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- SPD +0.2average 15.8
- FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- Grüne119
- SPD106
- AfD73
- Linke60
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.