Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 February 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
8 to 14 Feb 2018
Respondents
1,478
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
  • SPD19.0%-1.0
  • AfD14.0%+2.0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Feb 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,478 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Feb 2018, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.4average 12.4
  • SPD +1.3average 17.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 32.6
  • Linke -0.3average 10.3
  • AfD +0.2average 13.8
  • FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 216 seatsSPD: 125 seatsAfD: 92 seatsGrüne: 72 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU216
  • SPD125
  • AfD92
  • Grüne72
  • Linke66
  • FDP59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne380 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.