Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 February 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
1 to 7 Feb 2018
Respondents
1,226
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
  • SPD20.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Feb 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,226 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Feb 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher and AfD 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.9average 32.1
  • AfD -1.8average 13.8
  • SPD +1.3average 18.7
  • Linke -1.2average 10.2
  • Grüne -0.9average 11.9
  • FDP -0.2average 9.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 225 seatsSPD: 133 seatsAfD: 79 seatsGrüne: 73 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU225
  • SPD133
  • AfD79
  • Grüne73
  • FDP60
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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