Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
7 to 13 Sep 2017
Respondents
1,888
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%-1.0
  • SPD22.0%-2.0
  • AfD11.0%+2.0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Sep 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,888 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Sep 2017, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.4average 9.6
  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 37.1
  • SPD -0.7average 22.7
  • Linke +0.6average 9.4
  • Grüne +0.3average 7.7
  • FDP -0.2average 9.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 236 seatsSPD: 144 seatsAfD: 72 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 59 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU236
  • SPD144
  • AfD72
  • Linke66
  • FDP59
  • Grüne53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD380 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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