Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
31 Aug 2017 to 6 Sep 2017
Respondents
1,869
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
  • SPD24.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Sep 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,869 people were surveyed from 31 Aug 2017 to 6 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.0average 23.0
  • FDP -1.0average 9.0
  • Grüne +0.5average 7.5
  • AfD -0.4average 9.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 37.3
  • Linke -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 245 seatsSPD: 159 seatsLinke: 60 seatsAfD: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU245
  • SPD159
  • Linke60
  • AfD60
  • FDP53
  • Grüne53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD404 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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