Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
3 to 9 Aug 2017
Respondents
1,886
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%±0
  • SPD24.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Aug 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,886 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Aug 2017, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.2average 8.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 38.8
  • Grüne -0.5average 7.5
  • FDP -0.4average 8.4
  • AfD -0.1average 8.1
  • SPD ±0average 24.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsSPD: 159 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 53 seatsAfD: 53 seatsGrüne: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • SPD159
  • Linke66
  • FDP53
  • AfD53
  • Grüne47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD411 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne352 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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