Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
27 Jul 2017 to 2 Aug 2017
Respondents
2,453
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%±0
  • SPD23.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Jul 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,453 people were surveyed from 27 Jul 2017 to 2 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Jul 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.4average 8.6
  • SPD -1.0average 24.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 38.9
  • FDP -0.6average 8.6
  • Grüne +0.4average 7.6
  • AfD -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsSPD: 153 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • SPD153
  • Linke66
  • FDP53
  • Grüne53
  • AfD53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD405 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD358 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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