INSA poll of 18 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,206
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-2.0
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- BSW7.0%+0.5
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%+0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jan 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,206 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Jan 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower and BSW 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 31.2
- BSW +2.0average 5.0
- AfD +1.4average 19.6
- FDP +1.0average 4.0
- Grüne -0.7average 13.7
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- SPD -0.1average 16.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- AfD145
- SPD111
- Grüne90
- BSW48
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP347 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.