INSA poll of 13 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 2,005
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD22.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- BSW6.5%+0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke3.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Jan 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Jan 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.9average 19.1
- BSW +1.3average 5.2
- SPD -1.1average 16.1
- Grüne -0.6average 13.6
- Linke +0.3average 3.2
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 31.1
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU223
- AfD158
- SPD108
- Grüne94
- BSW47
- CDU/CSU + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne317 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne360 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.