Single poll
INSA poll of 11 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Jan 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.9 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.9average 19.1
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 31.1
- BSW +0.8average 5.2
- Grüne -0.6average 13.6
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- SPD -0.1average 16.1
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- AfD159
- SPD116
- Grüne94
- BSW43
- CDU/CSU + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW318 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 6 Jan 2025INSA, 13 Jan 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.