INSA poll of 6 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 2,001
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- AfD21.5%+1.5
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.5%+0.5
- BSW6.5%-0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Jan 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 21.5%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Jan 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Jan 2025, AfD gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 3.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.1average 18.4
- BSW +1.1average 5.4
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 31.7
- SPD -0.7average 16.2
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- Grüne ±0average 13.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD154
- SPD111
- Grüne97
- BSW46
- CDU/CSU + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.