Single poll
INSA poll of 30 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 20.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Dec 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Dec 2024, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.2 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.2average 18.3
- Grüne -1.5average 13.5
- BSW +1.3average 5.7
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 31.8
- Linke +0.8average 3.2
- SPD +0.4average 16.1
- FDP -0.1average 3.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- AfD148
- SPD119
- Grüne87
- BSW51
- CDU/CSU + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW363 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne354 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW318 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 28 Dec 2024INSA, 5 Jan 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.