Single poll
INSA poll of 28 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Dec 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Dec 2024, SPD gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.8 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.8average 18.2
- Grüne -1.4average 13.4
- BSW +1.4average 5.6
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 31.9
- SPD +0.7average 16.3
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU224
- AfD145
- SPD123
- Grüne87
- BSW51
- CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW319 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 23 Dec 2024INSA, 30 Dec 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.