Single poll
INSA poll of 14 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Dec 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Dec 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 2.3 points higher and AfD 1.9 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.3average 5.7
- AfD +1.9average 18.1
- Grüne -1.7average 12.7
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 32.4
- FDP +1.2average 3.8
- SPD +0.8average 16.2
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- AfD137
- SPD117
- Grüne75
- BSW55
- FDP34
- CDU/CSU + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW342 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP321 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 9 Dec 2024INSA, 16 Dec 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.