Single poll
INSA poll of 9 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by AfD on 19.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Dec 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Dec 2024, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 2.2 points higher and AfD 1.7 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.2average 5.8
- AfD +1.7average 17.8
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 32.9
- SPD +1.3average 15.7
- Grüne -1.1average 12.6
- FDP +0.7average 3.8
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU227
- AfD140
- SPD122
- Grüne83
- BSW58
- CDU/CSU + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW368 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne345 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW320 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 7 Dec 2024INSA, 14 Dec 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.