INSA poll of 7 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 6 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%+0.5
- AfD19.0%+0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- BSW8.0%+0.5
- FDP4.0%-0.5
- Linke4.0%+0.5
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Dec 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Dec 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Dec 2024, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.2average 5.8
- AfD +1.2average 17.8
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 32.9
- Linke +0.9average 3.1
- Grüne -0.6average 12.6
- SPD +0.3average 15.7
- FDP +0.2average 3.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- AfD137
- SPD116
- Grüne87
- BSW58
- CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.