INSA poll of 30 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 29 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,201
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%-0.5
- AfD18.0%-1.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+2.0
- BSW8.0%+0.5
- FDP5.0%+0.5
- Linke3.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Nov 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Nov 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Nov 2024, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.9average 6.1
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 33.1
- Grüne +1.1average 11.9
- FDP +0.9average 4.1
- AfD -0.2average 18.2
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- SPD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- AfD125
- SPD104
- Grüne90
- BSW55
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.