INSA poll of 25 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU32.5%+0.5
- AfD19.5%+0.5
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW7.5%+0.5
- FDP4.5%-0.5
- Linke3.5%-0.5
- Others6.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Nov 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.5%, followed by AfD on 19.5%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Nov 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Nov 2024, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 17.9
- BSW +0.8average 6.7
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 33.0
- FDP +0.4average 4.1
- Linke +0.2average 3.3
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU239
- AfD144
- SPD111
- Grüne81
- BSW55
- CDU/CSU + AfD383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne320 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.