INSA poll of 23 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 21 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD14.0%-2.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW7.0%-0.5
- FDP5.0%+0.5
- Linke4.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Nov 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Nov 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Nov 2024, SPD loses 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.1average 17.9
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 33.0
- FDP +0.9average 4.1
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- BSW +0.3average 6.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU229
- AfD136
- SPD100
- Grüne79
- BSW50
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.