Single poll
INSA poll of 16 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 15 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 11 to 15 Nov 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Nov 2024, Grüne loses 1.5 points, BSW gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 17.6
- Grüne -1.4average 11.4
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 33.3
- BSW +1.0average 7.0
- Linke +0.8average 3.2
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- FDP -0.2average 4.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU237
- AfD141
- SPD119
- Grüne74
- BSW59
- CDU/CSU + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne334 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW319 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 12 Nov 2024INSA, 18 Nov 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.