INSA poll of 9 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 8 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,065
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- AfD19.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-0.5
- Grüne10.0%-0.5
- BSW7.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%-0.5
- Linke4.0%+0.5
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Nov 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,065 people were surveyed from 7 to 8 Nov 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Nov 2024, AfD gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 17.4
- Grüne -1.2average 11.2
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 33.0
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- Linke +0.8average 3.2
- BSW -0.3average 7.3
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU243
- AfD144
- SPD114
- Grüne76
- BSW53
- CDU/CSU + AfD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.