INSA poll of 28 October 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW9.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke2.5%-0.5
- Others8.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Oct 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Oct 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Oct 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 17.4
- BSW +1.2average 7.8
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 32.1
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- Linke -0.5average 3.0
- Grüne -0.2average 11.2
- FDP +0.2average 3.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- AfD141
- SPD111
- Grüne81
- BSW67
- CDU/CSU + AfD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW378 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne333 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.