INSA poll of 26 October 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 25 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-0.5
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.5
- Grüne11.0%+1.0
- BSW9.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%+0.5
- Others9.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Oct 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Oct 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Oct 2024, SPD loses 1.5 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower and AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 32.1
- AfD +1.6average 17.4
- BSW +1.2average 7.8
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- Grüne -0.2average 11.2
- FDP +0.2average 3.8
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- AfD142
- SPD113
- Grüne83
- BSW67
- CDU/CSU + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne338 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.