Single poll
INSA poll of 19 October 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 18 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 1,201
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Oct 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Oct 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 17.5
- BSW +1.2average 7.8
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 32.1
- Grüne -1.0average 11.0
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- AfD141
- SPD118
- Grüne74
- BSW67
- CDU/CSU + AfD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW371 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne333 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW326 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 14 Oct 2024INSA, 21 Oct 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.