Single poll
INSA poll of 14 October 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 14 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by AfD on 18.5%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Oct 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Oct 2024, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +1.2average 7.8
- AfD +1.1average 17.4
- Grüne -1.0average 11.0
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 32.4
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- Linke +0.5average 3.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU233
- AfD137
- SPD119
- Grüne74
- BSW67
- CDU/CSU + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW374 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne330 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW323 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 12 Oct 2024INSA, 19 Oct 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.