Single poll
INSA poll of 12 October 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 11 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Oct 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Oct 2024, AfD loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 17.4
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 32.4
- BSW +1.2average 7.8
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- Grüne ±0average 11.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU227
- AfD139
- SPD117
- Grüne81
- BSW66
- CDU/CSU + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW374 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne337 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW322 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 7 Oct 2024INSA, 14 Oct 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.