Single poll
INSA poll of 7 October 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Oct 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Oct 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.6average 17.4
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 32.4
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- Grüne -0.6average 11.1
- Linke -0.6average 3.1
- BSW +0.2average 7.8
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU231
- AfD146
- SPD117
- Grüne77
- BSW59
- CDU/CSU + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW367 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne340 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW322 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 5 Oct 2024INSA, 12 Oct 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.