INSA poll of 28 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- AfD19.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%+1.5
- BSW10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- Linke3.0%+0.5
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Sep 2024.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Sep 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Sep 2024, Grüne gains 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 2.0 points higher and AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.0average 8.0
- AfD +1.6average 17.4
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 32.6
- Grüne -0.4average 11.4
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- AfD137
- SPD109
- Grüne80
- BSW72
- CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.