Single poll
INSA poll of 23 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Sep 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Sep 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.6 points higher and BSW 2.2 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.6average 17.4
- BSW +2.2average 7.8
- Grüne -1.8average 11.3
- SPD +0.9average 14.6
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 32.7
- Linke -0.6average 3.1
- FDP -0.5average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- AfD145
- SPD112
- BSW72
- Grüne69
- CDU/CSU + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + Grüne373 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne326 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 21 Sep 2024INSA, 28 Sep 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.