Single poll
INSA poll of 7 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 6 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Sep 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Sep 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 2.5 points higher and AfD 2.1 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.5average 7.5
- AfD +2.1average 16.9
- Grüne -1.8average 11.8
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 32.0
- FDP -0.8average 4.8
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- AfD141
- SPD111
- Grüne74
- BSW74
- CDU/CSU + AfD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW378 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW326 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 2 Sep 2024INSA, 10 Sep 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.